Successful sports bettors wager on points and value, not teams. Like stocks, you buy low and sell high. The easiest first step if see what happened in the most recent game and bet against it. Why? Because casual bettors tend to overvalue what they just witnessed. The 49ers just crushed the Falcons 31-13 while the Titans just lost to a mediocre Steelers team. These recent results are inflating this line.
The Titans are a solid team, even without Henry they’ve played tough. They are 9-5 and like the 49ers are in the playoff hunt. Laying 3.5 points on the road? That’s a lot of points. The Titans are a gritty team that are well coached and find ways to keep games close. The value is on the Titans +3.5 this Thursday night.