Under 49 Raiders-Cinci Best NFL Value Bet

The best value bet in the NFL playoffs is in game one; take under 49 points in Raiders Bengals. I love betting unders as casual bettors hammer the overs and cheer for points. This is especially true in playoff games as millions of fans lay money on the over to watch touchdowns being scored. Sports-books adjust, inflating the total so … Read More

NFL Value Bet: Ravens +3.5 vs Bengals

Kudos to John Harbaugh the Ravens coach.   Twice in the last three weeks he played for the win, unfortunately it didn’t pay off and twice Baltimore lost by a point after failed two point conversions at the end of the game.  Because of those losses and being on the road the Ravens are plus 3.5 this week versus the … Read More

Bet the Titans +3.5 vs 49ers – TNF

Successful sports bettors wager on points and value, not teams. Like stocks, you buy low and sell high. The easiest first step if see what happened in the most recent game and bet against it. Why? Because casual bettors tend to overvalue what they just witnessed. The 49ers just crushed the Falcons 31-13 while the Titans just lost to a … Read More

Bet Under 51.5 Chiefs-Chargers

Thursday night’s NFL game has the stars aligned for a great value bet. I often advocate betting the under especially in primetime games. Casual bettors tend to wager on the over because it is fun to cheer for points. This inflates the total so the value is the other way, on the under. This advantage is especially true Thursday night … Read More

Value Bets – as seen @Yardbarker

I’m up 6.7 units of profit @Yardbarker: Ravens +3.5 vs Bengals – LOSS 1.1 units (with VIG) Titans +3.5 vs 49ers – WIN 1 unit Saints +11.5 vs Bucs – WIN 1 unit Went 3-3 betting HUGE bowl dogs for +6 units (3 wins X +300 – 3 X 100 losses) Cardinals -2.5 vs Rams – LOSS 1.1 units (with … Read More

NFL Value Bets: Parleh video clips

I finished the regular season at 7-4 betting the NFL ATS (against the spread) @theparleh Jan 9: Dolphins +6.5 vs Patriots – WIN Dec 19: Giants +10.5 vs Cowboys – LOSS Dec 12: Bills +3.5 vs Tampa – LOSS Dec 5: Chargers +3 vs Bengals – WIN Nov 28: Titans +6.5 vs Patriots – LOSS Nov 21: Colts +7.5 vs … Read More

Thanksgiving Value Bet: Under 45.5 Bills v Saints

The best NFL game this Thanksgiving is the prime time affairs between the Bills and Saints – two solid teams in playoff contention.  The over-under for the game is 45.5 meaning a total of 45.5 points are expected to be scored.   A bettor can choose to go under (winning if 45 or less total points are scored), or over.   Either … Read More