Value Bet: Cardinals -2.5 MNF

I rarely bet favourites. Generally speaking the public bets the favourite because they are the better team, totally ignores the point spread, and often lose, especially in the NFL with its parity and close games. However, this game is an exception to the rule. Why? The Cardinals are clearly the better team. They’ve got a better record and a much … Read More

NFL Value Bets: Parleh video clips

I finished the regular season at 7-4 betting the NFL ATS (against the spread) @theparleh Jan 9: Dolphins +6.5 vs Patriots – WIN Dec 19: Giants +10.5 vs Cowboys – LOSS Dec 12: Bills +3.5 vs Tampa – LOSS Dec 5: Chargers +3 vs Bengals – WIN Nov 28: Titans +6.5 vs Patriots – LOSS Nov 21: Colts +7.5 vs … Read More

NFL Value Bet: Raiders +9.5 v Chiefs

This Sunday, the Raiders are a strong value bet +9.5 points against the Chiefs.   The bettors are excited as the Chiefs are hot and have won five in a row.   However, Mahomes & company are NOT the super offensive powerhouse they’ve been in years past.   In fact, they’ve only scored 23+ points once during their five game winning streak.   Winning … Read More

College Football Value Bet: Michigan +8.5

What a great rivalry game Saturday!   Ohio St is an 8.5 point favourite at Michigan.   Both teams are ranked in the top 5 and the winner should* make the college football playoff. Why is Ohio St such a big favourite on the road?    Because they are on fire!   They just annihilated #7 Michigan St by 47 points, after dismantling … Read More

Thanksgiving Value Bet: Under 45.5 Bills v Saints

The best NFL game this Thanksgiving is the prime time affairs between the Bills and Saints – two solid teams in playoff contention.  The over-under for the game is 45.5 meaning a total of 45.5 points are expected to be scored.   A bettor can choose to go under (winning if 45 or less total points are scored), or over.   Either … Read More

Just how awesome is Rodgers?

So Rodgers is worth 4 wins per NFL season above replacement. To expand and explain the math: the Packers odds to beat the Chiefs were roughly 50-50 at most sportsbooks when the public all thought Rodgers was playing.   Then BOOM – he’s suddenly out with COVID – nothing else changes but the Packers do NOT have Rodgers.   Sportsbooks reset the odds at … Read More

The Value of Rodgers

Rarely can you conduct an experiment to determine value in the real world in real time.   However, we now know EXACTLY the value of Packers Star quarterback Aaron Rodgers. The Packers are at the Chiefs and were a small dog and 49% to win the game.   Then, Rodgers was announced out with COVID.   The game was pulled and came back … Read More

The Real Sports Bettor Can Handle Covid

Harley Redlick has been a successful sports bettor for the last 15 years.   He’s a Gambling Law Professor and spoken at both BOSA & CGA on sports betting topics. I was 30 years old and working for the bank when I contemplated quitting my job to play online poker. This was 14 years ago. I had a law degree, an … Read More

Kawhi is Toronto’s Third Legend

Sunday night Kawhi did what every kid dreams about – he hit a buzzer beater in the deciding game so his team could win it.   It is rare.   Kawhi’s buzzer beater was the first in a game 7 in NBA history. However, Toronto sports fans are blessed.   Twice previously in the last 30 years, we’ve walked off as winners in … Read More

Will Trudeau step up to the plate?

Ontario, Canada’s largest province, has leadership fully supporting legalized single sport betting.   However, the Federal Liberals led by Trudeau need to act first. Explained by me for Sun Media online.  harley@sharpedgepicks.com